Investing in US CRE for the Long Haul

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Expectations for long-term investment performance among asset classes are the drivers of asset allocation. Historical performance is often used to anchor expectations. For US commercial real estate (CRE), history suggests an 8-9% unlevered total return over the long term.

However, developments in recent quarters suggest that such an assumption may prove to be unwarranted even before considering the impact of the coronavirus. At the same time, since all asset types will confront the same changes in the investment environment, the competitive position of US CRE may well retain its relative attractiveness.

Disclosures

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This document contains "forward-looking statements" which are based on change to the firm's beliefs, as well as on a number of assumptions concerning future events based on information currently available. These statements involve certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions which are difficult to predict. Consequently, such statements cannot be guarantees of future performance and actual outcomes and returns may differ materially from statements set forth herein. In addition, this material contains information regarding market outlook, rates of return, market indicators and other statistical information that is not intended and should not be considered an indication of the results of any Aegon Real Assets US-managed portfolio.

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Martha Peyton, PhD

About Martha Peyton, PhD

Martha Peyton, PhD is managing director of Applied Research for Aegon Real Assets US primarily responsible for the development and application of research to real asset strategies.